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Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
Exended Range Forecast Atlantic Hurricane Season 2012
- By S Coward
- Published 01-Jun-12
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
June 1, 2012 - We foresee slightly below-average activity for the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season. We have increased our forecast slightly from early April, due to large amounts of uncertainty in both the phase of ENSO as well as in Atlantic basin conditions. We anticipate a slightly below-average probability of United States and Caribbean major hurricane landfall. (as of 1 June 2012)
NOAA predicts a near-normal 2012 Atlantic hurricane season
- By S Coward
- Published 29-May-12
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
May 29, 2012 - Conditions in the atmosphere and the ocean favor a near-normal
hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin this season, NOAA announced
May 29 from Miami at its Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological
Laboratory, and home to the Hurricane Research Division.
Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity & Landfall Strike Probability for 2012
- By S Coward
- Published 06-Apr-12
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
April 6, 2012 - We anticipate that the 2012 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have reduced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology.
Summary of 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season
- By S Coward
- Published 01-Dec-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Dec. 1, 2011 - The 2011 hurricane season had above-average tropical cyclone activity but not to the levels that we predicted. It was notable for having many weak tropical cyclones but only slightly above-average intense tropical cyclone activity.
Colorado State University Forecast – Hurricane Activity, Oct 12 – 25, 2011
- By S Coward
- Published 12-Oct-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Oct. 12, 2011 - We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by average amounts (70-130 percent) of hurricane activity relative to climatology.
Oct. - Nov. Hurricane Forecast - University of Colorado
- By S Coward
- Published 30-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Sept 30, 2011 - We expect that October-November will have well above-average (over 200% of normal) hurricane activity in the Caribbean basin, due to a combination of La Niña conditions and anomalously warm Caribbean basin sea surface temperatures.
OPHELIA Moving North-northwestward with 105 mph Winds
- By S Coward
- Published 30-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Sept 30, 2011 - A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bermuda.
Maria Expected to Move Gradually Away from Extreme Northeastern Caribbean
- By S Coward
- Published 11-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Rain Bands Associated with Maria Already Reaching Lesser Antilles
- By S Coward
- Published 09-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
MARIA Continues to Speed Across the Tropical Atlantic With Little Change in Strength
- By S Coward
- Published 08-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
MARIA Racing Westward Across the Tropical Atlantic
- By S Coward
- Published 07-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.2 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H...AND THIS RAPID MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THEREAFTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST.
Colorado State University Forecast of Hurricane Activity from Aug. 31 - Sept 13, 2011
- By S Coward
- Published 05-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Sept. 5, 2011 - We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by above-average amounts (greater than 130 percent) of activity relative to climatology. These new two-week forecasts have replaced the monthly forecasts that we have been issuing in recent years.
CCRIF: Hurricane Irene Traverses Caribbean: Localised Damage but No Major Losses
- By S Coward
- Published 01-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands, Sept. 1, 2011 – The Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF) has announced that, while Hurricane Irene resulted in registered losses in six of its member countries (Anguilla, Antigua & Barbuda, the Bahamas, Haiti, St. Kitts & Nevis and the Turks & Caicos Islands), none of the policies of these countries were triggered.
Katia Continues Westward with Little Change in Strength
- By S Coward
- Published 01-Sep-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Katia Gradually Strengthening
- By S Coward
- Published 30-Aug-11
- Hurricanes/Natural Disasters
- Unrated
Aug. 31, 2011 - Katia gradually strenghthening as it moves quickly west-northwestward.
