Hurricanes/Natural Disasters

 
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July 31, 2012 - A weak area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located about 1150 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.


Tropical Wave in Atlantic

July 30, 2012 - A tropical wave accompanied by a weak area of low pressure located about 800 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.


June 1, 2012 - We foresee slightly below-average activity for the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season. We have increased our forecast slightly from early April, due to large amounts of uncertainty in both the phase of ENSO as well as in Atlantic basin conditions. We anticipate a slightly below-average probability of United States and Caribbean major hurricane landfall. (as of 1 June 2012)

May 29, 2012 - Conditions in the atmosphere and the ocean favor a near-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin this season, NOAA announced May 29 from Miami at its Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, and home to the Hurricane Research Division.

April 6, 2012 - We anticipate that the 2012 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have reduced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology.

Dec. 1, 2011 - The 2011 hurricane season had above-average tropical cyclone activity but not to the levels that we predicted. It was notable for having many weak tropical cyclones but only slightly above-average intense tropical cyclone activity.

Oct. 12, 2011 - We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by average amounts (70-130 percent) of hurricane activity relative to climatology.

Sept 30, 2011 - We expect that October-November will have well above-average (over 200% of normal) hurricane activity in the Caribbean basin, due to a combination of La Niña conditions and anomalously warm Caribbean basin sea surface temperatures.

Sept 30, 2011 - A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bermuda.







A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS... AND SAINT KITTS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.



AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.2 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H...AND THIS RAPID MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST.



Sept. 5, 2011 - We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by above-average amounts (greater than 130 percent) of activity relative to climatology. These new two-week forecasts have replaced the monthly forecasts that we have been issuing in recent years.


Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands, Sept. 1, 2011 – The Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF) has announced that, while Hurricane Irene resulted in registered losses in six of its member countries (Anguilla, Antigua & Barbuda, the Bahamas, Haiti, St. Kitts & Nevis and the Turks & Caicos Islands), none of the policies of these countries were triggered.

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