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Hurricanes/Natural Disasters

 

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Summary of 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Dec. 1, 2011 - The 2011 hurricane season had above-average tropical cyclone activity but not to the levels that we predicted. It was notable for having many weak tropical cyclones but only slightly above-average intense tropical cyclone activity.

Colorado State University Forecast – Hurricane Activity, Oct 12 – 25, 2011

Oct. 12, 2011 - We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by average amounts (70-130 percent) of hurricane activity relative to climatology.

Oct. - Nov. Hurricane Forecast - University of Colorado

Sept 30, 2011 - We expect that October-November will have well above-average (over 200% of normal) hurricane activity in the Caribbean basin, due to a combination of La Niña conditions and anomalously warm Caribbean basin sea surface temperatures.

OPHELIA Moving North-northwestward with 105 mph Winds

Sept 30, 2011 - A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bermuda.

Maria Expected to Move Gradually Away from Extreme Northeastern Caribbean



Rain Bands Associated with Maria Already Reaching Lesser Antilles



MARIA Continues to Speed Across the Tropical Atlantic With Little Change in Strength

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS... AND SAINT KITTS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

MARIA Racing Westward Across the Tropical Atlantic

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.2 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H...AND THIS RAPID MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST.

Colorado State University Forecast of Hurricane Activity from Aug. 31 - Sept 13, 2011

Sept. 5, 2011 - We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by above-average amounts (greater than 130 percent) of activity relative to climatology. These new two-week forecasts have replaced the monthly forecasts that we have been issuing in recent years.

CCRIF: Hurricane Irene Traverses Caribbean: Localised Damage but No Major Losses


Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands, Sept. 1, 2011 – The Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF) has announced that, while Hurricane Irene resulted in registered losses in six of its member countries (Anguilla, Antigua & Barbuda, the Bahamas, Haiti, St. Kitts & Nevis and the Turks & Caicos Islands), none of the policies of these countries were triggered.

Katia Continues Westward with Little Change in Strength



Katia Gradually Strengthening

Aug. 31, 2011 - Katia gradually strenghthening as it moves quickly west-northwestward.


Katia Slowly Strengthening over Eastern Tropical Atlantic

At 11am, the center of Tropical Storm Katia was located near latitude 12.3N, longitude 33.4W. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45mph with higher gusts. Katia is expected to become a hurricane by late Wednesday or early Thursday.




Tropical Depression 12 Forms in Atlantic, No Threat to Land

Aug. 29, 2011 - At 11AM, the center of TD 12 was located near latitude 9.8N, longitude 27.5W. The depression is moving toward the west near 15MPH. A turn to the west-northwest with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours.

Tropical Storm Jose Forms Near Bermuda

Aug. 28, 2011 -- The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a tropical storm warning for Bermuda.


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